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January 6, 2026
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True Lies: Securing India Against Transnational Narrative Attacks

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By: Brigadier Anil John Alfred Pereira, SM (Retd)

Fake news representation: source Internet

Just as we pledge never to lose an inch of our territory, we must now resolve never to lose a single byte of our data.

“A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is still putting on its shoes.”
This quote, often attributed to Mark Twain, has travelled far and wide ironically embodying its own message. The quote itself is a lie that has been accepted as fact for decades. And in that paradox lies the perfect entry point to understanding the age-old, ever evolving weaponization of information. Long before the internet, tweets, or deepfakes, ancient rulers mastered the art of manipulating information. The divine right to rule claimed by pharaohs, emperors, and kings was often a well-spun fiction to consolidate power. In the Artha Shastra, Chanakya systematically detailed how misinformation could be used in espionage, warfare, and governance. Sun Tzu, in The Art of War, famously wrote: “All warfare is based on deception.” These civilizations understood what we are only now being forced to confront: the control of information is the control of minds.

Digital Vulnerability

In today’s social media era, information has been weaponized in unprecedented ways. Every decision we make from what to eat, whom to vote for, to what we believe about global events is influenced by what we see, hear, and share online. Algorithms amplify content not for truth, but for engagement. This creates echo chambers where facts bend to bias. One of the biggest challenges is that humans are psychologically wired to believe information that aligns with their existing worldview. Disinformation campaigns exploit this cognitive bias. Repetition creates familiarity, which we often mistake for truth. In the digital era, this process is accelerated. With deepfakes, AI-generated images and voice clones, it is nearly impossible to distinguish reality from fabrication. The battlefield of truth is now personal.

Rewriting Reality

Information warfare is not merely about spreading lies, it is about shaping perception. Pakistan has long understood this and deployed it consistently as a core element of its strategic doctrine, often with considerable tactical success in shaping international narratives. During the Kargil Conflict in 1999, despite initiating the intrusion, Pakistan attempted to frame it as a spontaneous uprising by Kashmiri ‘freedom fighters’, even as Indian Army recovered bodies of Pakistani soldiers complete with military IDs. Similarly, after the Indian Air Force struck Jaish-e-Mohammed terror training camp in Balakot, Pakistan immediately pushed global narrative that ‘no damage’ was done and that the strike was a ‘political stunt’. During Operation Sindoor,Pakistan suffered severe setbacks: its forward airbases were struck, terror infrastructure was degraded, and key military installations were neutralized. But within hours, a parallel digital war was launched with fake videos, distorted casualty reports, and selective footage rapidly disseminated via social media and sympathetic global influencers to downplay the extent of the damage and project India as the aggressor.

A coordinated global narrative has increasingly emerged with the aim of portraying India in a negative light, often by selectively highlighting internal challenges while ignoring context, constitutional safeguards, or ground realities. This narrative is perpetuated through a network of ideologically aligned NGOs, think tanks, international media outlets, and activist scholars who frame India as an illiberal democracy. Social media further amplifies this narrative, with hashtag campaigns and viral misinformation frequently originating from adversarial countries and sympathetic diaspora groups. These efforts, subtle and sustained, seek to undermine India’s democratic image, erode its diplomatic credibility, and influence global policymaking by weaponizing perception.

Defending the Information Frontier

To counter this threat, India must embed information dominance into its national security doctrine. A National Information Warfare Command should be established, bringing together military, intelligence, diplomatic, and media experts to lead coordinated narrative responses. A 24×7 Narrative Management Cell must monitor global and domestic trends, rapidly debunk misinformation, and disseminate verified counter-narratives. Indian embassies abroad must be equipped with localized digital content and trained personnel to counter false narratives in real time. We must also promote credible Indian voices in international media and academia; scholars, journalists, and public intellectuals who can articulate India’s perspective with clarity and credibility. The Armed Forces must institutionalize Information Operations as a key operational domain alongside land, air, sea, cyber, and space. Dedicated information warfare units should be tasked with offensive and defensive narrative-building, especially during cross-border operations, insurgency control, or hybrid conflicts. Strategic partnerships with global tech platforms like Meta, X, and YouTube are essential to track and dismantle coordinated influence operations. Equally critical is a nationwide media literacy movement that trains citizens especially youth to identify fake news, deepfakes, and propaganda. Finally, as responsible citizens, it is our moral duty to indulge in responsible sharing, critical thinking, and digital hygiene to be the first line of defence in this information warfare.  

Way Forward: Sovereignty of Information

Information warfare today is not fought on the battlefield but in browsers, news feeds, and comment sections. Just as we pledge never to lose an inch of our territory, we must now resolve never to lose a single byte of our data. In the digital age, sovereignty extends beyond borders, it includes the integrity of our information.

Why Mainstream & Social Media Matter?

By: Lt Col JS Sodhi (Retd), Editor, GSDN

Representative of recording in a news channel studio: source Internet

The morning prayer of the National Defence Academy, Khadakwasla, which is the world-renowned Tri-Services training institution located in Pune, India has a line “Choose the harder right, than the easier wrong”.

In today’s world where only power and money matter, this line of the NDA Prayer holds a deep significance for every profession and organisation as when history is written many years and decades down the line, every aspect will be intensely studied since in hindsight issues acquire deeper clarity than while in the midst of it.

As India races towards the goal “Viksit Bharat 2047” of being a developed nation in 100-years of her independence in 2047, it is a whole-of-the-nation approach in which every organisation and citizen has to contribute in own capacity and capability.

At the end of 2047, which is just 22 years down the line, when stock is taken of India having become a developed nation, one aspect that will be discussed in detail will be the role of the mainstream electronic news channels (hereafter referred to as the mainstream media) and the leading social media handles (hereafter referred to as the social media) which are very active in today’s era, as they command phenomenal viewership and followers and help shaping narratives. Every word spoken in the mainstream media and written in the social media has a deep impact not only on the 1.46 billion Indian citizens but also in global geopolitics.  

India has 465 news channels comprising English, Hindi and regional languages channels and amongst them are 20 news channels which have the maximum viewership. Out of the 1.46 billion Indian citizens, 1.17 billion watch television. The mainstream & social media are also watched/followed by the Embassies and High Commissions located in India who regularly send back reports back to their countries on the internal situation in India. Also, this media has immense global viewership.

There are 75 leading social media handles in India which have a combined followership running over 1.5 billion. The current global population is 8.2 billion. In contrast only 400 million Indians read newspapers. Thus, the mainstream electronic news channels and the leading social media handles are a very powerful medium of conveying information and shaping narratives.

While it is easy to say that the mainstream media anchors and the social media handles are independent, but when the same persons are seen in official/political party functions then it is amply clear that they do enjoy the official/political party backing.

The aim is not to name and shame such mainstream & social media, but to drive home the point that while immediate gains may be made in Television Rating Points (TRPs) which in turn leads in to increase in advertising and hence more revenue, and gains in electoral politics, the international image of the nation suffers as does the domestic social fibre.

Thus, mainstream & social media matter globally as well as domestically.

Each individual has to take the call-are TRPs and electoral dividends important, or is the nation’s image more important? Blind pursuit of profits with utter disdain to social impact isn’t just morally incorrect, it is blatantly dangerous.

Take the case of Germany. After it’s defeat in World War I, Adolf Hitler in his bid for power started blaming the Jews for Germany’s defeat. That time, Jews comprised just 1% of the German population and had contributed in equal measure for Germany’s growth. Adolf Hitler was so successful in selling the narrative of Jews being responsible for the German defeat, that resulted him in not only seizing power but in the Holocaust of Jews leading to the killing of 6 million Jews. Judaism not only survived as a religion but catastrophe befell Germany and it was split into two nations after the end of World War II – East Germany & West Germany. It took 45 years for Germany to be united again in 1990. For mere 12 years of being in power from 1933-45, Adolf Hitler not only killed millions but had his country divided into two nations too.

Another nation that merits attention is Myanmar. In 1947, Aung San, a prominent politician of Burma (now Myanmar) had said that if Unity in Diversity of Burma is played with, Burma will sink in chaos. In 1962, the Military Junta seized power and did contrary to Aung San’s caution, started playing merry-hell with Burma’s Unity in Diversity. Burma was renamed Mynamar in 1989. As the internal strife in Myanmar continued because of the Military Junta’s playing with the Unity and Diversity of the country, China started taking advantage of the internal mayhem in Myanmar and started supporting various terrorist outfits. One of such terrorist outfit is the United Wa State Army which controls large swathes of the nation in which no soldier of Myanmar’s army can dare enter. The country which has 90% Buddhist population and Buddhism is regarded as one of the most peaceful religions in the world, has now slipped into a civil war with the conditions having come to such an impasse that the Myanmar President Myint Swe declared on November 09, 2023 that Myanmar will be split if the violence doesn’t stop.

India too is a land of Unity in Diversity, like Myanmar is but a much bigger bouquet of 89 major and minor religions and 122 major languages and 1599 other languages that are spoken across the length and breadth of the country.  

There will be enough reasons to support or decry the views expressed in this article. But an example will amplify the case better. Would one like to visit a house whose inhabitants are seem to be always shouting at each other and bringing out mistakes of few of their family members in the media which is widely watched and read the world over? Answer this question honestly to yourself.

India’s size is 897% times Malaysia’s size. India has everything to offer what a tourist would want – mountains, beaches, deserts and islands, same as Malaysia offers, but with much more choices. But in 2024, 25 million foreign tourists visited Malaysia as compared to only 9.7 million foreign tourists who visited India the same year. It is here that the mainstream & social media’s role becomes important. In 2019, 10.9 million foreign tourists visited India. A clear drop of 1.2 million foreign tourists visiting India in the five-year period from 2019 to 2024. Tourism is one industry which the mainstream & social media can help grow manifold by projecting how safe a country is, as any tourist considers the security in the visiting country of paramount importance while planning a trip.

Sample this. Last year in a capital city of an Indian state, a rape and murder took place in a hospital. The mainstream & social media for weeks together broadcast and posted news of this issue, as this state is ruled by a particular political party whom they want removed from power.

The same year in an important town in a central Indian state, an Army officer was robbed and his girlfriend raped at midnight. Since this state is ruled by a political party whom the mainstream & social media likes, this news was hardly mentioned for few minutes. Any act of violence should definitely be reported in the mainstream & social media, but the brazen double-standards adopted in cases depending on which political party is in power, needs deep introspection.

And when such incidents are run on the mainstream & social media non-stop for weeks, the world notices. The world gets the message that India is unsafe for women. It is then the foreign countries issue advisories for travel to India. Latest case in point being the US issuing India Travel Advisory on June 16, 2025 placing India in Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution.

Don’t rape and murders occur in the US or the UK? How much of such news is run on the Western mainstream media like BBC, CNN, France24 etc?

Discussions happen on the Western mainstream electronic news channels too but no fighting or abusing amongst the co-panellists takes place as in commonly seen in almost all the Indian mainstream media.

In 2020, a retired Indian Army Major abused a retired Lieutenant General and a retired Brigadier on a news channel. In 2023, a retired Indian Army Major General called a retired Lady Indian Army Officer as a mosquito. In 2025, a retired Indian Army Major called another country’s Foreign Minister as son of a pig on his social media handle, leading to a diplomatic row between India and that country, with which good relations exist.

In 2023, a leading Indian social media handle mocked at a neighbouring foreign country leading to increased tensions between the two neighbours. Eventually, resulting in that nation embracing China openly.

The Indian mainstream & social media is also obsessed with Pakistan. Why should we compare ourselves with Pakistan? It is a failed nation. When one has to progress in an organisation or a career, does one look at the success stories or failures? Why success stories of countries like Switzerland and Spain are not shown in the Indian mainstream news channels? Why success stories of Indians within the country are rarely aired and discussed? Does India lack success stories? No, we don’t. But the answer is obvious too. There are no TRPs and electoral gains accruing by success stories abroad or Indians excelling domestically.

As for a person to succeed, it is imperative that he/she has a positive outlook and gains inspiration from people who have already succeeded in that particular field. Similarly, the narrative for India required from the mainstream & social media is of positivity and success stories and not just communally oriented programmes and posts & and selective stories of rapes and murders, based on the states they occur in.

Shaping of narratives is important and not TRPs and electoral gains. Money will come and go, followers on social media handles will increase or decrease, political parties will loose and gain power. But India will always stand as a nation.

“With great power there must also come…great responsibility!” quoted Stan Lee. The Indian mainstream electronic news channels and the leading social media handles are undoubtedly immensely powerful. It is time for change in these powerful mediums of information in India as 2047 is just over a little two decades away. The mainstream & social media should indulge in fair and equitable reporting staying clear of over-sensationalism for prolonged periods.

 

Steve Jobs in his famous speech on Jun 12, 2005 in the Stanford Stadium had aptly remarked “You can’t connect the dots looking forward. You can only connect them looking backwards”. In 2047, the role of the mainstream & social media who for the last few years have only kept TRPs and electoral gains paramount, without the effect it is having on the domestic social fabric and global geopolitics, will definitely be assessed as they comprise the Fourth Estate which has an equal role in national building as others.

Why Turkey matters in Global Geopolitics?

By: Shreya Dabral, Research Analyst, GSDN

Turkey: source Internet

Turkey is considered as a strong nation when we hear about global geopolitics. Well, the significance arises from the nation’s location that forms the bridges between Europe, Asia and the Middle East. Turkey possesses a strong control on Bosporus and Dardanelles Straits that create a link between the Black Sea with the Mediterranean Sea on to the warm waters of the Atlantic Ocean.

Turkey is being governed under the Montreux Convention (1936) and it continues to regulate the passage of civilian and the military vessels, providing a strong impact over the naval access to and from the Black Sea. The control over the two straits is considered necessary for regional and global maritime trade and also for maintaining tight securities.

Turkey is Russia’s second huge trading partner, Ankara is reportedly known to continue relying on Russian gas and banking networks, clearly making it a US$ 60 billion in trade with Moscow annually. Turkey has been seen improving its relationships with Russia since 1995 when the former nation stopped supporting the Kurdish Workers Party that simultaneously made Turkey stop supporting Chechen rebels. Turkey has expressed criticism over Russia’s plan to establish the military bases in Syria, particularly in Tartus and Khmeimim. Moreover, Turkey still continues to control the airspace in the northern parts of Syria, it still retains the strategic upper hand to limit Russian’s access in the region.

Guardians of the Black Sea and the Bride of the Sea.

Turkey possesses the longest stretch of coastline along the Black Sea among all bordering nations and maintains one of the region’s most advanced and capable naval forces. Its location allows Turkey to position itself in the whole Black Sea region, the Caucasus, the Balkans and the eastern Mediterranean. Being a country in possession of a coastline but also a capable navy (one of the only capable navies in the region), they will act as one of the key regional actors in deterring Russian expansion while also being a party to the West.

Turkey is a founding member of NATO’s southern flank and it hosts key military infrastructure with NATO as it also hosts air domination assets and can also provide and provide assessment – the Turkish military is NATO’s second-largest in terms of troop strength. Turkey has been an important regional alliance in intelligence collection and sharing, counter-terrorism operations and stabilization operations.

Blending East and West

Turkey’s foreign policy has taken on one of the most unique activities of any state, and that has been hedging alliances between the West and non-Western states. Turkey is a NATO Ally and is trying to become a member of the European Union, and has continued military cooperation with the West against traditional enemies. However, Turkey has also established strategic relationships with non-Western states like Russia, Iran, and China.   The drive to balance the United States and NATO, on the one hand, and the East on the other, is demonstrated in Turkey’s arms procurements where Turkey acquired Russian S-400 missile defense systems. This procurement was a bold step and increased tension with Washington while at the same time displaying Turkey’s desire to assert its right to maintain sovereign defense choices. Turkey’s commitment to both the Western military coalitions and the East allowed it emerge in previous years as a middle power state in the diplomatic world capable of playing multiple roles and loitering across different diplomatic spaces.

Turkey has been increasingly engaged as a regional peacemaker.

 Turkey has brought parties to the table in discussions between Russia and Ukraine over the last couple of years, held a number of talks at the leadership level, and agreed on most notably, what would happen with grain exported from Ukraine through the Black Sea. All these are significant actions that contributed to prevention of food shortages in the world, especially in the developing world that relies heavily on Ukrainian food products.

With regards to the Syrian civil war, Turkey comprised a host of multiple roles – as a military actor, space for hosting refugees, diplomatic mediation role and humanitarian response. Turkey has done military operations in Syria to eliminate threats to its own borders; it has also held peace negotiations between warring factions in Syria. Turkey’s engagement has included similar mediation roles in the conflicts arising from Libya, the South Caucasus, the Gulf.

Turkey’s actions in these areas have elevated its profile in the international arena, and done so while acting as an independent actor with its own regional objectives.

Energy Transit Centre of the Region

Turkey has become an energy corridor linking producers to the Middle East, Central Asia, and Russia, to European consumers. Pipelines such as the Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP) and the Southern Gas Corridor traverse Turkish territory, providing Europe energy alternatives that are not Russian.

Moreover, Turkey serves as the end point for several oil and gas pipelines from Azerbaijan, Iraq, and Iran. Turkey is also a central point for liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals and future hydrogen transmission routes. With Europe pursing diversifying away from Russian energy, Turkey’s capacity to be a stable transit country becomes particularly salient.

In addition to transit, Turkey is investing in domestic energy supplies such as nuclear and renewables, and with international partnerships Turkey is able to develop its capacity and resiliency to energy infrastructure.

Economic Power and Regional Influence

Turkey is one of the top 20 economies globally but has seen ups and downs in its economic growth. Turkey still remains a global trade participant, representing both developed and emerging economies.

Turkey’s economy has engaged with countries in a wide spectrum; from engagements with the European Union and Gulf states to economic deals with China and Russia. Turkey has also deepened ties with African states through infrastructure projects, trade missions, and defense agreements. This economic diplomacy advances its geopolitical objectives and, in its effort, to expand its sphere of influence.

Relative to some of the challenges Turkey has faced in recent years, for example, inflation rates, currency devaluation and external debt, Turkey articulates its role as a bridge linking East and West; through providing investment opportunities, transport connectivity and manufacturing opportunities.

Military Strength and Technological Development

Turkey’s defense and domestic defense industry are undergoing a serious modernization effort, and is now situated as one of the few countries in the world designing and manufacturing sophisticated drones, warships, and missile systems with combat experience.  Turkish-made drones were used extensively and effectively in each conflict in Syria, Libya, and Ukraine.

The development of indigenous defense technology will increase Turkey’s strategic autonomy and reduce reliance on foreign suppliers. Furthermore, it enables Ankara to engage in defense diplomacy through arms exports and exports to strengthen its relationships with allies and partners throughout Africa, Central Asia, and the Middle East.

Turkey has made tremendous advances on the maritime front to increase its naval capabilities and expand areas of operation in the Aegean and Mediterranean Seas. The “Blue Homeland” doctrine reflects Turkey’s willingness to project power in its maritime zones and, importantly, to protect its energy and security interests.

Diplomatic Aspirations and Global Autonomy

Turkey’s foreign policy is becoming characterized increasingly by a doctrine of strategic autonomy—putting national interests first, irrespective of bloc politics. It wants to be a significant player, not just regionally but globally.

Turkey calls for reform to international institutions, specifically the United Nations Security Council, indicating that no single bloc or group should dominate global governance. It is taking an active role in multilateral forums such as the G20, OECD, Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), and Developing 8.

Turkey is also assertively trying to move away visually from being a peripheral NATO ally toward being a central diplomatic power which can manage both regional crises and global issues, through summits, bilateral engagements, and humanitarian efforts.

Domestic Politics and the International Complications

The internal political trends of the past decade in Turkey have considerable ramifications in the international arena. The past decade has seen the consolidation of executive authority, restrictions on freer expression, and a continued tension between democratic economic side and executive authority that intends to concentrate power. These issues have raised alarm for many of Turkey’s Western partners and have called into question its more legitimate democratic credentials, but more importantly, its relevant geopolitical value very often overshadows these domestic issues. Most Western states remain willing to engage Turkey in bilateral arrangements based on Turkey’s functional role in managing migration, counterterrorism, and security strategy in the region. However, the fact that domestic governance should remain important in any long-term relationship is lost if there are no parallel attention to governance issues along with strategic engagements.

Turkey’s elections, legal reforms, and civil social movements are monitored closely by international observers and a concern for domestic stability should be paramount for Turkey’s continued regional leadership.

Expanding Footprint in Africa, Central Asia, and the Caucasus

Turkey is extending its geopolitical reach into regions beyond its traditional sphere. In Africa, it has opened over 40 embassies, launched numerous infrastructure and development projects, and secured defense cooperation agreements with multiple states. Its visibility in Africa reflects both humanitarian interests and competition with other powers such as China, Russia, and the Gulf.

In the Caucasus, Turkey played a decisive role during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war by backing Azerbaijan militarily and diplomatically. The outcome enhanced Turkey’s leverage in the region and enabled it to promote new trade corridors linking the Caspian to Europe.

In Central Asia, Turkey’s cultural and linguistic ties have been utilized to foster deeper engagement through organizations like the Organization of Turkic States. This outreach diversifies Turkey’s partnerships and aligns with its broader goal of strategic diversification.

 In conclusion Turkey is a prominent player in global geopolitics because it serves as a bridge, a buffer, and a centre for power. Turkey’s influence is not limited to its immediate geography but spans across continents and issue spaces—from maritime security and energy, conflict resolution and economic diplomacy.

Turkey is one contender amongst several, but what stands out is its ability to balance relationships with both the West and East, to mediate in conflicts, to secure vital energy corridors and to sustain military strength as needed. This makes Turkey one of the most essential players in the international system regardless of its domestic political challenges.

As global fault lines shift and new power centres emerge, Turkey’s role in the geopolitical equation becomes more daunting—whether it is as a partner at the peace table, a counterweight in the region, or a military strategic balancing act amongst rivals.

The Iron Bond: US Patronage and Israeli Power

By: C Shraddha

USA & Israel’s flags: source Internet

The existence of the United States-Israel relationship predates the statehood of the Jewish nation-state. On March 3, 1919, the 28th President of the United States, Woodrow Wilson, endorsed the creation of a “Jewish homeland in Palestine” known as the Balfour Declaration. He expressed, “The allied nations, with the fullest concurrence of our government and people are agreed that in Palestine shall be laid the foundations of a Jewish Commonwealth”. This materialised in the 1920s and 1940s when the US Congress pushed for the creation of the Jewish state through the endorsement of resolutions of the Balfour Declaration. Another instance of such American urgency can be traced back to May 14, 1948. On that day, the Provisional Government of Israel proclaimed statehood. 11 minutes later, the US became the first country to officially recognise the state of Israel. In the words of then-President Harry S Truman, “I had faith in Israel before it was established, I have faith in it now.”

Despite such early examples of international brotherhood, the initial two decades following statehood was quite the opposite. As a result of the Suez War, Israel fell out of favour with President Eisenhower. Consequently, Washington threatened to cut aid unless Israel withdrew from the captured territories. Meanwhile, the communist superpower, Soviet Union, threatened to fire missiles at the Zionist state if it did not withdraw from the area. Additionally, the nuclear programme of the state raised concerns for the Kennedy administration in the 1960s. 

The “special relationship” as endorsed by President John F Kennedy thrived in the post-1967 war era. The Six-day war between Israel and the Arab axis of Egypt, Syria, and Jordan showcased the defence capability of the Jewish nation. Israel was able to defeat the Arab coalition, capture new territory, and minimize losses while receiving little to no support from international players or forces. Furthermore, the humiliating strategic position of the United States in the Vietnam war and their inability to actively intrude in the matters of the Middle East, framed Israel as a worthy ally in the region. As the Stanford University Professor on Middle East history, Joel Beinin aptly observed “What’s key about the ‘67 War was Israel defeated the Arabs hands down in six days with absolutely no American military assistance. What that said to the United States was, ‘These guys are good. We are in a mess in Vietnam.  Let’s be connected to them’. Now, the Jewish nation was no longer a mere potential military foothold for the Americans, but it also served as a medium for repelling the socialist-communist ideologies propagated by the Soviet Union. 

The 1990s and 2000s witnessed the uninterrupted flow of US aid to Israel under the Clinton administration, aimed at supporting the “sacred mission” of establishing lasting peace in West Asia. Clinton, along with the newly elected Prime Minister Ehud Barak, held a joint press conference in which the former urged the US Congress to hasten the US$ 1.2 billion aid reserved for Israel as per the Wye peace agreement. Additionally, Clinton stated the intent of the nation to continue offering aid to Palestinians and other Arab nations in an attempt to balance the delicate situation in West Asia. 

In the context of Israel-Palestine relations, the stance of the US has slightly varied throughout the centuries. While consistent support for Israel has been the cornerstone of American policies, initial positions indicate an interest in assuming the role of a diplomatic mediator between the two parties. In 1998, Clinton served as a mediator between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian President Yasser Arafat during the Wye River Memorandum. Although Israel agreed to give up control of parts of the West Bank in return for the Palestinian administration undertaking steps to prevent attacks against Israeli civilians, the promises fell apart not long after. Netanyahu lauded the memorandum by stating, “Today’s a day when Israel and our entire region are more secure. Now, this has required sacrifice from both sides and reaching into what Lincoln called the better nature of mankind.” However, despite his appreciation for the accord, Israeli forces never withdrew from the agreed 13.1 per cent of the West Bank. Furthermore, the US$ 1.2 billion was not released. 

The relationship between the two countries can be superficially categorised into financial, ideological and military. Since its inception, the Jewish state has been the largest cumulative recipient of US aid, receiving approximately US$ 310 billion in military and economic assistance. While the US has provided assistance to other countries of the region, such as Iraq and Egypt, the enormous economic assistance received by the Zionist state’s military has enabled it to be the best in West Asia. Provisionally, the US has agreed to a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to provide Israel with US$ 3.8 billion annually till 2028. 

Since the beginning of the Israel-Hamas war on October 7, 2023, America has provided direct military aid of over US$ 12.5 billion through various legislations, including US$ 3.8 billion in March 2024 and US$ 8.7 billion due to a supplemental appropriation act in April 2024. As per analysts from Brown University, Linda J Bilmes, Stephen Semler and William D Hartung, Israel has received US$ 17.9 billion from the United States since the inception of the war. This figure entails the cost of replenishing weaponry for Israel by the US Defense Department. 

This provokes the question of why the US is heavily invested in the Zionist state. Israel is the linchpin in America’s Middle East policy. Republican party Senator Lindsey Graham once referred to Israel as the “eyes and ears of America”. The country’s interests in the region are driven by several factors, including the oil abundance, which leads it to assume the role of a guarantor and mediator of regional stability. This can be witnessed across time periods. Despite ideological evolution and strategic realignment, the tactical basis for this relationship has remained the same throughout. For the US, Israel is an instrument through which it can control the radicalisation of West Asia and regulate threats of Islamic extremism and violence. Furthermore, the advanced military capabilities of the states have enabled them to bar the advancements of nuclear programmes and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in the hands of volatile players such as Syria and Iraq. 

Political scientist Brent Sasley has aptly summarised the Israel-US relationship. According to Sasley, the US views the other as a “force of stability” in the West Asia region. Sasley explains that “in the sense that Israel can stabilise what’s going on in the Middle East. If there’s fear of Jordan being undermined by an internal or external enemy, the United States sometimes turns to Israel to pose a threat to that threat.” However, experts have noted the drawbacks of this overly-invested alliance. While the heads of the states remain in collusion despite the genocide in Gaza, critics argue that the unwavering American support has jeopardised the nation’s stronghold over the region. International actors and scholars have criticised the Biden as well as Trump administration for aiding the ‘world’s most documented genocide’ and blatantly ignoring human rights under the guise of self-defence. 

Despite such commentary, the US and Israel still continue to assist each other in traditional security measures through sharing intelligence on extremism, nuclear proliferation, terrorism and regional politics. Together, they have developed advanced military technologies such as the Arrow missile defence systems, David’s Sling counter-rocket and the Iron Dome. The Iron Dome, or the missile defence shield of Israel, was constructed with the components and financial assistance provided by the United States. As Israel boasts about possessing one of the most advanced defence systems in the world, President Donald Trump suggested the creation of a “Golden Dome”, a large-scale next-generation missile shield inspired by the Israeli model.   

Furthermore, Israel remains home to a key US military base that serves the purpose of containing and blockading Iran’s nuclear development plans. In order to strengthen its strategic position, two months before the war broke out, the Pentagon granted a multimillion-dollar tender to a prominent Israeli construction company, Bryan Ashush JV or Ashush, for the expansion of the base. Known as “Site 512”, this US-classified base is situated on top of Mount Har Qeren in the Negev desert, with Iran as its primary focus. Hailed as the “life support facility,” it showcases the rising presence of the US in the Middle East while intending to fulfil a secondary objective, that is, to keep Iran out of the -Palestine conflict- an effort that has ultimately failed.   

The decades-long United States- Israel alliance is one of the most controversial yet stable partnerships in the modern-day geopolitical environment. Since the inception of the state, the US has deemed the country to be a stable ally powerful enough to maintain the balance of the Middle East. As President Ronald Reagen voiced, “Israel is an integral part of the free world… Both a secure state of Israel and a stable Mideast peace are essential to our national interests.” While this relationship has proven to be advantageous to the administrations involved, it has raised criticism from all sections of society. The unwavering military and economic assistance provided by the US during the humanitarian crisis in Gaza has tarnished America’s moral credibility on the global stage. The blanket support provided by the superpower for the Jewish state in international organisations such as the United Nations has provoked accusations of selective justice. As the region continues to remain volatile, the constant intervention of the US leadership has inadvertently and disproportionately favoured Israel while failing to address the intensity of the underlying issues. 

The Iran-Israel War: What India Can Learn

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By: Chethana Enugula

India, Iran & Israel’s flags: source Internet

The short but fierce Iran-Israel War of 2025 has become a geopolitical benchmark. A preemptive airstrike on Iranian nuclear and military targets by Israel unleashed an immediate Iranian retaliation using a missile barrage, not only drone attacks. The 12-day brawl gave birth to more lessons not only to the countries directly involved but also to the wider world community, despite the eventual brokering of a ceasefire operation by the United States. To India, a fast-growing global state, the war can provide several lessons in areas such as national security, defense planning, foreign affairs, and cyber preparedness.

Energy security and the stability of the economy

In India, the region plays a significant role because more than 45 percent of energy imports are obtained by the country from West Asia through crude oil. The war has broken the oil distribution networks and caused the price of Brent Crude to rise to a high of over 120 dollars per barrel. This volatility directly threatens the Indian inflation levels, the balance of trade, and the general stability of the economy. India responded with various measures, including diversification of energy supply sources by purchasing more energy from Russia and the U.S. India had strategic petroleum reserves, which it used to alleviate the temporary shock.

The accident strengthens the need for energy diversification. India needs to speed up its efforts towards the promotion of renewable energy and improve its energy trade relations with other states, such as Africa and Latin America. It will assist in establishing a long-term mitigation of regional conflicts in West Asia.

Diplomacy of power and balance of interests

India has been very friendly to both Israel and Iran. Although Israel is a major ally in terms of defense, Iran could be placed in a strategic position in terms of Indian connectivity in the region, including the Chabahar port and the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC). India took a neutral, observatory tone throughout the conflict and appealed to the two countries to calm down without condemning any nation.

This juggling game points to the strategic autonomy of Indian foreign policy. Nevertheless, it also shows the difficulties of remaining uncommitted in such matters when major interests are at stake on both sides. In the future, India should keep playing its role in multilateral forums like BRICS, SCO, and I2U2 to maintain a stable neighborhood in the Middle East.

Defence Developments and Upgrades in Technology

The war between Iran and Israel featured the mass application of drones, guided bombs, and cyber warfare. Israel’s Iron Dome and other air defense systems were put into test mode. Iran, although not technologically advanced, was able to cause certain damage by sending out a swarm of missiles.

India will have to take note. The sky and cyber capabilities are taking more and more control of industrial warfare. Modernization of India should focus on the integrated air-defense system, advanced drones, and intelligence in the use of satellites. Cooperation with such countries as Israel and the U.S. can become the key to these capabilities.

Digital infrastructure and Cybersecurity

The other important aspect of the conflict was the employment of cyber warfare. Iran and Israel have both tried to conduct cyberattacks using essential infrastructure. Such cyber activities were equivalent to computer-based assaults and intended to interfere with communication, the power grid, and financial systems.

The same threats are still posed to India as the country’s digital economy has been rapidly growing. Improving cybersecurity systems, funding domestic technology for defense against cyberattacks, and establishing a unique cyber command in the military are critical. Collaboration with tech giants and world cybersecurity partnerships will strengthen India.

Chabahar and Regional Connectivity

Chabahar port in Iran, which India has developed, is a strategic position that will provide direct access to Central Asia and Afghanistan without using Pakistan. This connectivity plan was threatened by serious risks brought about by the conflict. Long-term investments in infrastructure in the region by India may take a long time or even be derailed by instability in Iran.

Owing to its interests, India should accelerate the operationalization process of Chabahar and other regional infrastructure projects. Cooperation with neighboring countries, especially the ones in Central Asia and the Gulf, is a way to sustain the pace of the connectivity projects.

Humanitarian Events and Safety of Citizens

India successfully conducted Operation Sindhu to repatriate more than 4400 Indian citizens from Iran and Israel. This operation showed India’s ability to defend its diaspora in an emergency. It demonstrated diplomatic deftness and operational fitness in the coordination with the neighboring countries such as Jordan and Armenia.

These procedures will have to be the norm. To ensure the safety of Indian citizens in other countries, it is possible to create a global system of emergency reactions, activities in the sphere of pre-diplomatic relations, and early warnings about traveling that can enable Indian citizens to travel abroad.

International Security and Social Harmony

Foreign wars usually translate to local effects. The intelligence agencies in India were on high alert during communally sensitive periods like Muharram and Ekadashi. It was aimed at ensuring that the domestic splash of the war between Israel and Iran does not fall on the Indian streets.

Such an event brings out the need for community participation, intelligence exchange, and rapid enforcement of the law. Even external geopolitical shocks cannot lead to internal destabilization without the promotion of interfaith dialogue and the strengthening of the unity of the nation.

Strategic Alliance and Global Positioning

Among the vivid opposite sides of the war can be mentioned the outstanding support of Israel by the U.S. on the one hand and the isolating position of Iran on the other. The strategic alliances offered Israel the opportunity to continue with its operations and prevent further violations. To India, it teaches a lesson on the significance of healthy international alliances.

Despite being a non-aligned state, India is actively involved in the Quad, BRICS, and bilateral defense treaties with other powers such as France and Israel, making it highly beneficial as far as positioning is concerned. India needs to keep these relations running in a balanced way without affecting its strategic independence.

Policy Recommendations

To have a synthesis of the lessons of the Iran and Israel war, India must embrace a multi-dimensional approach:

Energy Security: Give a boost to green energy programs and diversify imports of energy. This decreases the dependence on uncertain portions and creates sustainable self-sufficiency so that India’s economy is not affected by the energy shock caused by world globalization and works towards clean development.

Modernization of Defense: Invest in state-of-the-art drone technology, solid air defense systems and cutting-edge cyber warfare. These are vital in combating the contemporary menace and securing key national facilities, including power grid facilities, and national security in the dynamic combat environment.

Diplomacy: Adopt a robust form of multilateralism to reconcile world interests. India must use international platforms to create a discourse and cool down tensions, create an image of a responsible power, and protect the interests related to its strategic position both regionally and internationally.

Cybersecurity: Developing an effective national cybersecurity protection structure. This takes the form of security to critical infrastructure, advanced threat detection investment, and workforce development to combat advanced, sophisticated cyber threats, to demonstrate effective countermeasures of cyber missions and protection of digital assets.

National Strategy: Connectivity initiatives, such as the Chabahar Port, should be given priority. These developments increase India’s access points, leading to major trade routes, offering strategic options, and supporting the rest of its overall national plan of expanding economically and geopolitically.

Crisis Management: Streamline and mechanize evacuation structures of citizens in foreign countries. This also means quick repatriation in case of crises, which illustrates that the government cares about its diaspora and creates national confidence over emergency readiness.

Alliances: Forge strategic alliances that practice similar values and increase your security and sway without losing your sovereignty. The alliances provide technological and intelligence access, which strengthens the Indian stand against depending on foreign policies and allows it to exercise independent foreign policies.

The conclusion made in the article is that although the Iran-Israel war is a regional war, it presents vital strategic lessons in the forms of defense, energy, diplomacy, cyber preparedness, and internal security to India. It stresses the need to be ready in a multipolar world and a world of conflict since regional wars do have knock-on consequences on a global level. In the case of India, it implies faster diversification of energy resources, the modernization of the defensive potential (drones and cyber warfare), the reinforcement of multilateral diplomacy, the stabilization of the national infrastructure, and shoring up the protection regimes when abroad. As India emerges in the global arena, the intelligence gained by analyzing such conflicts is bound to play a role in ensuring the protection of its interests and strengthening itself as a stable, resilient, and strategic force.

Beyond Convenience: The Dynamics of Pakistan-USA Relations

By: Ahana Sarkar

Field Marshal Asim Munir & US President Donald Trump: source Internet

Field Marshal Asim Munir’s recent visit to the United States marks a critical juncture in Pakistan-USA relations, coming at a time when Pakistan faces mounting economic crises, political instability, and regional security challenges. The visit also coincides with shifting global dynamics, including the USA’s strategic focus on countering China and ensuring stability in South Asia. Against this backdrop, the meeting reflects the ongoing importance of military diplomacy as both nations seek to address their respective priorities.

This visit raises key questions about the nature of Pakistan-USA relations: Is it a move toward deeper collaboration, a continuation of their historically transactional ties, or a balancing act in an increasingly multipolar world? General Munir’s engagements in Washington, including discussions on counterterrorism, military cooperation, and regional stability, suggest a pragmatic approach to recalibrate ties amidst evolving global realities.

Pakistan and the US have had a rollercoaster relationship over the decades. Born during the Cold War, this partnership was initially meant to counter Soviet influence, with Pakistan getting economic and military aid in return for its geostrategic location. Key moments like Pakistan’s role in helping the US to make peace with China in the 70s, its involvement in the Afghan-Soviet war in the 80s and its cooperation in the post 9/11 war on terror have made it a significant, if often troublesome, player in Washington’s foreign policy game.

Despite decades of collaboration, the nature of Pakistan-USA relations remains complex, often driven by immediate strategic needs rather than a shared long-term vision. This closeness is frequently seen as transactional, reflecting the priorities of the moment rather than a genuine partnership. For Pakistan, the United States has been a source of critical military and economic aid, while for Washington, Pakistan serves as a key player in regional security and counterterrorism. Yet, this relationship is marred by mutual mistrust and diverging regional goals.

In the early years of the Cold War, Pakistan emerged as a critical ally for the USA in its global campaign against Soviet expansionism. Joining military alliances such as the Southeast Asia Treaty Organisation (SEATO) in 1954 and the Central Treaty Organisation (CENTO) in 1955, Pakistan positioned itself as a key player in the West’s containment strategy. In return, it received substantial military aid and economic assistance, which bolstered its defence capabilities and economic development. However, these alliances also deepened its dependency on the USA and often led to criticism from non-aligned nations.

The 1980s marked a turning point when Pakistan’s geographical position became vital during the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. As a frontline state, it facilitated American covert operations to support Afghan mujahideen fighters. Billions of dollars in military and economic aid flowed into Pakistan, strengthening its armed forces and intelligence networks. This period not only solidified Pakistan’s importance in American foreign policy but also fostered the emergence of complex regional challenges, such as the rise of militancy and instability in Afghanistan.

Post-9/11, Pakistan once again became indispensable to the USA, this time as a key ally in the War on Terror. Its cooperation was crucial in countering extremist groups and facilitating military operations in Afghanistan. The relationship deepened, with Pakistan receiving significant military aid, intelligence-sharing arrangements, and economic support. However, this era also brought heightened scrutiny and mistrust, as the USA often questioned Pakistan’s commitment to combating terrorism, citing instances of double-dealing and harbouring extremist networks.

The cornerstone of Pakistan-USA cooperation has been their military and strategic partnership. Joint military operations, particularly in the post-9/11 era, have underscored the importance of this collaboration. Pakistan’s support for the United States during the War on Terror was instrumental in dismantling terrorist networks in the region. Intelligence-sharing agreements and counterterrorism operations further solidified this alliance, with Pakistan serving as a crucial hub for American interests in South Asia. Additionally, the USA has historically relied on Pakistan’s air bases for logistical and operational support, especially during conflicts in Afghanistan. This strategic access has underscored Pakistan’s geographical significance. In return, the USA has provided substantial military aid, modern weaponry, and training for Pakistan’s armed forces, enhancing its defence capabilities.

Economic assistance has been another pillar of Pakistan-USA relations. Through USAID, the United States has funded a range of development programs in Pakistan, addressing critical sectors like education, healthcare, and infrastructure. Investments in public health initiatives, such as immunisation campaigns and maternal health programs, have improved the quality of life for millions of Pakistanis. In education, scholarship programs and funding for schools have expanded access to learning opportunities in underserved regions. Infrastructure projects, including energy and water management systems, have aimed to bolster Pakistan’s economic growth and stability. While these programs have been impactful, they are often viewed through a strategic lens, aimed at fostering goodwill and stability in a region of vital interest to the USA.

Beyond strategic and economic ties, cultural and academic exchanges have fostered people-to-people connections between Pakistan and the USA. The Fulbright Scholarship Program, for example, has enabled Pakistani students to study at prestigious American universities, enriching academic and professional ties between the two nations. Similarly, cultural initiatives, such as performing arts tours and language programs, have promoted mutual understanding and appreciation. The Pakistani diaspora in the United States has also played a pivotal role in strengthening bilateral ties. As one of the fastest-growing immigrant communities, Pakistani-Americans contribute to various sectors, from technology to healthcare, while maintaining cultural and economic links with their homeland.

One of the most persistent challenges in Pakistan-USA relations is the deep-seated mistrust between the two nations. The United States has frequently accused Pakistan of supporting militant groups operating in the region, such as the Haqqani network and the Afghan Taliban. These allegations, particularly during the post-9/11 era, have strained their partnership, with Washington questioning Pakistan’s commitment to counterterrorism. On the other hand, Pakistan perceives the USA as an unreliable partner, citing instances of abrupt policy shifts and perceived abandonment, such as the cessation of military aid during the 1990s and the USA’s pivot towards India. The 2011 killing of Osama bin Laden in Abbottabad, Pakistan, without prior notice to Islamabad, further deepened the trust deficit, exposing the fragile nature of their alliance.

National interests often diverge between Pakistan and the United States, leading to friction in their relationship. For Pakistan, India remains its primary security concern, shaping much of its foreign and defence policies. However, the USA’s growing strategic partnership with India, particularly in countering China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific, has been a source of unease for Islamabad. This shift is viewed as undermining Pakistan’s regional position and contributing to an imbalance in South Asia.
Similarly, their approaches to Afghanistan have often been at odds. While Pakistan seeks a stable and friendly Afghan government to counter Indian influence, the USA has criticised Pakistan for allegedly harbouring insurgents who destabilise Afghanistan. This divergence has complicated cooperation, especially during the USA’s prolonged military engagement in the region.

The nature of American financial aid to Pakistan has also been a contentious issue. While billions of dollars in military and economic aid have flowed into Pakistan over the decades, this assistance is often seen as a tool of influence rather than a genuine investment in mutual growth. Critics argue that American aid is highly conditional, tied to strategic imperatives rather than the long-term development of Pakistan’s economy or institutions. This dependency on external aid has created vulnerabilities for Pakistan, undermining its sovereignty and fostering a perception of imbalance in the relationship. At the same time, the USA has expressed frustration over the perceived misuse of funds, alleging that financial assistance meant for development or counterterrorism has been diverted for other purposes.

Both countries have gained significantly from their partnership. For Pakistan, American military aid and advanced weaponry have strengthened its defence capabilities, while economic assistance has supported development in key sectors such as health, education, and infrastructure. On the other hand, the USA benefits from Pakistan’s strategic geographical location, providing a gateway to South Asia and the Middle East. Pakistan’s role in facilitating American military operations and intelligence-gathering in Afghanistan has been indispensable, particularly during the War on Terror. While these benefits highlight the utility of the relationship, they also expose its pragmatic nature, where collaboration is often driven by immediate needs rather than shared long-term goals.

The closeness between Pakistan and the USA has far-reaching implications for regional and global politics. In South Asia, this partnership serves as a counterbalance to India’s growing influence and China’s expanding presence. However, it also exacerbates tensions, particularly with India, which perceives Pakistan-USA ties as a threat to its strategic interests. In the broader Middle East, the partnership influences the balance of power, particularly in counterterrorism and conflict resolution efforts. The USA’s engagement with Pakistan indirectly shapes its relationships with other regional players, including Iran, Afghanistan, and the Gulf states, underscoring the global interconnectedness of their alliance.

Looking ahead, the future of Pakistan-USA relations depends on their ability to address existing tensions while capitalising on shared interests. A deeper alliance would require rebuilding trust and aligning long-term strategic objectives, particularly in areas like counterterrorism, climate change, and economic development. However, the transactional nature of their partnership, rooted in historical precedence, may persist. Both nations are likely to continue prioritising short-term goals over enduring commitments, especially as global geopolitics become increasingly multipolar.

The Pakistan-USA relationship is a testament to the complexities of modern geopolitics, blending strategic necessity with underlying mistrust and diverging priorities. Over the decades, their partnership has evolved through phases of cooperation and contention, driven by shared interests in military collaboration, counterterrorism, and regional stability. Yet, persistent challenges, ranging from a trust deficit to conflicting regional goals and economic dependencies, underscore the fragile foundation of their closeness.

In my view, the relationship between Pakistan and the United States is neither wholly strategic nor purely transactional but a hybrid shaped by the ever-changing dynamics of global politics. While both nations derive significant benefits from their collaboration, the lack of a unified long-term vision limits the potential for a deeper alliance. This ambivalence reflects not only historical precedence but also the complex interplay of regional and global forces that continue to shape their interactions.

As the world transitions toward an increasingly multipolar order, alliances like the one between Pakistan and the USA face greater scrutiny and uncertainty. The sustainability of their partnership will hinge on their ability to rebuild trust, address mutual concerns, and adapt to new geopolitical realities. A more constructive relationship will require transparent dialogue, a commitment to shared objectives, and a recognition of each other’s evolving priorities. Whether this partnership can transcend its transactional nature and achieve true strategic depth remains an open question, one that will define its relevance in the years to come.

Land Warfare in the Anthropocene: Ecological Constraints on Future Indian Military Operations

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By: Taha Ali

Landslide in Sikkim, India: source Internet

At a breathtaking pace, climate change is reshaping battlefield environments, becoming a threat multiplier that we need to center on in military strategic thinking. India is a land of environmental variability; bordered by glaciated mountains, deserts, and monsoon-fed plains that is already lurking in their face is the consequential environment encountered in the Anthropocene directly related to land warfare. The increased Himalayan glacial melting, accelerating desertification of the Thar, and the lethal concoction of heat-ravaged land and flooding of central and eastern India are threatening to become not far-off futurist writing scenarios, but instead are already impeding deployment cycles, movement, logistics, and sustainability of forward operations. In thinking about the future of the military in a climate-affected context, India’s military will have to consider the strategic frame long term and bring an overall understand of ecological constraints into thinking about national security analysis and operational axioms. The Anthropocene lens applied to conflict analysis is not episodic reversal, it is a change of structure one that requires militaries to rethink not just how they undertake combat but perhaps where, when, and with what costs.

Himalayan Retreat and Desert Advance: Terrain-Driven Disruptions

The Himalayan-dominated north border is India’s most strategic military region, but it is also one of the most environmentally sensitive. Thawing glaciers due to a rise in temperatures are causing unseasonal flows of water, flash floods, and landslides in areas like Ladakh, Sikkim, and Arunachal Pradesh. In Ladakh, soldiers stationed along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) have had to deal with roads swept away by glacial lake outbursts and monsoon rains that cause landslides. In 2025, the Chaten landslide in Sikkim destroyed an army outpost and showed just how much intensity in the monsoons and fragility of terrain now vitally erode military preparedness. Repair work in its wake took weeks both because of the logistical challenges as well as continuing inclement weather.

This environmental unpredictability is compelling a reimagining of the maintenance of forward deployments. Lines of logistics are becoming more fragile—convoys are abandoned, bridges get washed out, and airstrips experience weather-related disruptions. The traditional seasonal war-fighting logic of winter fighting and summer preparation is being reversed by climatic aberrations. Monsoons are lasting longer and falling more unpredictably, with winters growing milder in some regions, upsetting scheduled windows for operation and maintenance. In some industries, this unpredictability actually cripples the rotation schedule of troops, adding to physical and psychological fatigue. At the same time, in India’s western deserts of Rajasthan, it is the reverse: creeping aridity. Although periodic monsoon greening created an illusory appearance of fertility, satellite imagery and ecological surveys affirm that the Thar Desert is growing, advanced by soil erosion and dune movement. The outcome is accelerating water shortage, record summer temperatures in excess of 50°C, and frequent sandstorms that clog machinery and drain troop reserves. Patrols along the India-Pakistan frontier become increasingly hemmed in by these circumstances, with diesel convoys carrying water and fuel becoming more vulnerable and more essential than ever. If the desert becomes more fluid, with roads and outposts being engulfed by dunes, then India will be compelled to rethink how it can project a viable presence in this unruly and growing area. Already, remote sensor and drone surveillance are becoming a replacement for round-the-clock manned presence in some sections, a trend set to gain momentum in the years to come.

Climate Pressure on Logistics, Doctrine, and Technology

From the Indo-Gangetic plains to the northeastern floodplains, climate change brings a two-edged crisis: intense heat and severe precipitation. In Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Assam, prolonged stretches of dry, oppressive heat are followed by deluges that overwhelm civilian and military infrastructure. In 2024, the Northeast experienced several deadly landslides and floods that displaced thousands, bringing both humanitarian relief and military logistics to a standstill. Severe weather is as much a constraint in Indian defense planning as terrain or hostile fire. Military bases along flood-prone locations like Tezpur and Guwahati are spending on flood protection mechanisms, but these are still reactionary rather than anticipatory adjustments. This renders mobility and logistics the weakest links in India’s strategic chain. Road and rail networks critical for resupply can be knocked out or made useless for weeks. Heatwaves impair machines, lower the endurance of troops, and present lethal health threats. These stresses require innovation: the Army will have to transition to more autonomous logistics (unmanned resupply vehicles and air drones), spend on climate-resilient infrastructure, and build module-based, energy-independent forward posts with solar and wind power. Positively, the Indian Army has already started employing solar panels in certain outposts on the border and the Air Force has experimented with biofuels in transport planes. These are encouraging moves towards less reliance on fossil fuel convoys, not only vulnerable to attack but ever less viable in a hotter planet. Other technologies like mobile desalination plants, water-from-air machines, and hybrid-power battle vehicles could increase operational independence.

Tactics and training need to adapt as well. Heat acclimatization and flood response training should be fundamental competencies in every unit. Heavy armor divisions might be forced to rethink their role in marshy terrain or soft desert conditions, while lighter and more agile units supported by airlifts will prove invaluable. In addition, the Armed Forces need to establish institutionalizing climate risk into strategic thought. The Land Warfare Doctrine (2018) and Joint Doctrine (2017) mention environmental factors cursorily at best. A doctrinal revision must acknowledge that environmental degradation is central, not peripheral it dictates when and where soldiers can engage, how long they can remain supported, and what equipment they will require to survive. A new “Green Doctrine,” combining sustainability, resilience, and agility into planning constructs, could inform this transformation.

Conclusion

Climate change, as part of a planetary emergency unfolding at a rapidly increasing rate, has altered the battlefield almost instantaneously, is now becoming a threat multiplier and is what we need to concentrate on in military strategic thinking. India as an eco-strategic space surrounded by glaciated mountains, deserts, and monsoon-fed plains that are being increasingly scrutinized both by military planners and climate scientists alike, already has a consequential environment encountered in the Anthropocene in relation to land warfare. The increasing glacial melt in the Himalayas, desertification of the Thar, and lethal combination of heat-cursed land and flooding in central and eastern India have already begun to reach the point where they may no longer be futuristic writing scenarios, but instead already present severe limitations on deployments cycles, movement, logistics, and sustainability of forward operations. In considering a future for (Indian) military forces in a climate-affected context, military planners will ideally have to consider the longer term strategic frame and build in a more complete recognition of ecological constraints to the overarching national security analysis and operational axioms. The Anthropocene lens applied to conflict analysis is not an episodic change, but a structural change, a new structure that requires militaries to rethink not just how they conduct combat, but maybe where,

Additionally, India also must engage with its regional partners including Bhutan, Nepal, and Bangladesh—to address shared environmental security risks that cross borders. Sharing hydrological data, disaster response coordination, and environmental intelligence will be essential for creating a stable military ecosystem in South Asia. If the Armed Forces can adapt to grapple with climate change the approach will ensure operational readiness while enhancing national security in its broadest definition. In the Anthropocene, adaptability is not just about tactics but it is also about strategy as the next battle space will be created not just by adversaries, but by a planet whose environment is changing rapidly.

Has USA Re-Emerged as the Key Player in the Middle East?

By: Namya Sethi

Middle East: source Internet

The Middle East is still enormously significant to world politics because it has a lot of oil, is the birthplace of three major religions (Islam, Christianity, and Judaism), and has a long history of violence and political instability. The United States (US) has had a large effect on the region’s politics and security in the last few decades because of its military activities, diplomatic efforts, and strategic partnerships.

A lot of people felt the US was drawing back from its large involvement in Middle Eastern problems after being active in Iraq for a long time (2003–2011) and Afghanistan for a long time (2001–2021). Recent events, on the other hand, show that the return is more balanced and built on diplomacy, cooperation, and partnerships with more than one country. On the other side, China and Russia are gaining power by striking deals in defense, energy, technology, and infrastructure. Because of this, peace in the Middle East is a concern for the whole world, not just the Middle East.

As a college student majoring in sociology, I believe this is a significant period. We need a nuanced and multi-faceted approach that involves diplomacy, development, and respect for local voices, as well as hard power, to bring peace to the Middle East.

Historical Background

The US became more active in the Middle East after World War II. Washington helped build Israel in 1948 and made strategic alliances with Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries. During the Cold War, the US fought against Soviet power. But the biggest change happened after the attacks on September 11, 2001, when the US initiated the Global War on Terror and invaded Afghanistan in October 2001 and Iraq in March 2003.
These actions were originally supposed to stop weapons of mass destruction and break up terrorist networks. However, they swiftly developed into long, costly occupations.

The region was in chaos for a long time after groups like the Taliban and Saddam Hussein’s government were destroyed because of the instability and insurgencies that followed.


People in the US and the Middle East were tired of the military being there all the time by the middle of the 2010s. As Washington began to withdraw from direct engagement, other nations, notably Russia, Iran, Turkey, and China, assumed the power vacuum.

The Trump Years (2017–2021)

President Donald Trump’s foreign policy changed a lot about how the US worked in the area. The US left the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), generally known as the Iran Nuclear Deal, on May 8, 2018. This put Iran back under harsh sanctions. The decision was controversial, which made many angry and led to clashes in the region.
Trump also helped make the Abraham Accords, which were signed in September 2020. These accords made relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco normal. These agreements were a huge change since they demonstrated that certain Arab countries were willing to talk to Israel diplomatically, even while there was no progress toward Palestinian statehood.

Critics, including me, recognized that the Accords were a diplomatic success, but they weren’t sure if they would continue without a complete peace process that includes Palestinians. The Trump administration also skipped established multilateral forums, which made it look like they were more interested in short-term deals than long-term growth.

Biden’s New Plan

Joe Biden promised to bring back diplomacy and multilateralism when he became president in January 2021. His government tried to make friends again while also reducing back on direct military action. After the failed withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021, the US sounded cautious but set on changing how it was involved in the region.


Instead of sending soldiers, Biden prioritized humanitarian aid, working together in the region, and diplomacy. His government offered more money to United Nations (UN) humanitarian efforts in war-torn areas and began talking to Iran and its neighbors again. The US began to speak more openly about safeguarding civilians and human rights, but it still had strong ties to Israel and the Gulf states.

Reestablishing a Presence in 2025

It was evident by the start of 2025 that the US was going to get back involved in the Middle East with a new plan. In March 2025, Houthi insurgents attacked commercial ships in the Red Sea, which caused a coordinated response. The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN-69) from the US joined French and Egyptian naval soldiers to protect global trade channels and stop additional attacks.


This marked a shift from acting alone to cooperating with regional and international partners on joint efforts. The emphasis on protecting trade and maritime infrastructure demonstrated that America sought peace through stability rather than conflict.

Help for persons who need it and safety for civilians

The US committed to provide Gaza US$1.2 billion in humanitarian aid on May 16, 2025, after things became worse. The support, which was delivered with the help of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), focused on food, housing, clean water, and emergency medical care.

The US aid proposal plainly indicated for the first time in years that it would safeguard civilians no matter what their political opinions were. The US was still firmly on Israel’s side, but it was open to diplomacy that balanced humanitarian concerns with strategic ones.

Reevaluating Military Aid to Israel

Reports that came out in June 2025 indicated that US-made weapons were used in populated civilian areas in Gaza. This made both sides of the aisle in the US Congress upset, which led to hearings on how to keep an eye on military spending. Civil society groups wanted all arms transfers to be linked to requirements for human rights.

The Biden administration stated it still supports Israel, but it also promised to be more open and watch things after the sale. The argument marked a turning moment that made ethics and responsibility important parts of foreign military policy.

Iranian diplomacy

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) fell apart, although talks with Iran started up again in Vienna in early 2025. The US, European Union (EU), and regional powers talked to each other to try to block Iran from gaining nuclear weapons and to stop cyberattacks and proxy conflicts in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon.

Although progress is still gradual, the talks suggest that people are starting to believe in working together again. This is really crucial for a student. Talking, even if it doesn’t help right away, builds trust and keeps problems from getting worse.

Military exercises and working together

There are around 30,000 US troops in Bahrain, Qatar, Iraq, and Kuwait. The US and Jordan staged significant joint drills in May 2025 that focused on battling terrorism, regulating borders, and sharing information. This kind of cooperation is very crucial since cells connected to the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) are coming back.

These drills are different from earlier campaigns because they focus on giving local forces the tools and training they need to keep the peace.

Working together in business

In 2025, the shift to economic diplomacy was a huge change. In April 2025, the US and Iraq made a US$2.5 billion contract to aid with solar energy, fix up Mosul’s public schools, and make the area’s health care better. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is carrying out US-backed reforms in Lebanon to stabilize the banking sector and restore basic services.


Things that cause conflict, such as not having a job, not having enough money, and not being able to receive an education, are what economic development is all about. The change from bombs to budgets shows that peace must be built from the ground up.

Soft Power and Programs for Young People

The US is still putting money into soft power. Educational programs like the Fulbright Program helped regional scholarships expand by 30% between 2015 and 2025. Two universities that bring people from diverse cultures together are New York University (NYU) Abu Dhabi and Georgetown University in Qatar.

The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) pays for projects in Tunisia, Morocco, and Iraq that promote women’s rights, literacy, and entrepreneurship. These programs help people get to know one another better and make connections that last by treating each other with respect and working together to make progress.

Public Opinion and Civic Engagement

Even if the US works with several Middle Eastern regimes, a lot of people in those nations still don’t trust the US. In May 2025, people in Beirut, Amman, and Baghdad started to protest peacefully. People who were protesting wanted foreign aid to be more open and local governments to have more power to make decisions.

From the point of view of young people and students, these voices need to be heard. To bring peace to the Middle East, people in different communities and countries need to talk to one other.

The Future of Technology and New Ideas

Digital cooperation is a new area to explore. In 2025, tech leaders and think tanks in the US started talking to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) about how to control artificial intelligence (AI) and cybersecurity. People are still talking about formal treaties, but early exchanges suggest that innovative diplomacy will play a significant role.


If we give power to regional businesses, promote smart infrastructure, and make sure that digital ecosystems are safe, the area could change. Investing in fresh ideas helps the economy stay strong now and in the future.

The Role of Multilateral Institutions

The US is depending more and more on multilateral groups like the United Nations (UN), the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to advocate for sustainable development and call for reforms in how countries are run. In nations that aren’t stable, like Yemen and Lebanon, cooperative initiatives help keep an eye on corruption, support elections, and send help in times of need.


This multilateral method makes sure that many countries work together to keep the peace, not just one big one.

The Media’s Part in Cultural Diplomacy

American culture is still quite popular over the world. In March 2025, the US Embassy in Amman organized a celebration for cultural interaction. Over 40,000 people came to see Arab student poets and American jazz musicians. Even though these moments are symbolic, they help people comprehend each other and get rid of their biases.

Media projects financed by the US also help young journalists in the area battle extremist propaganda and encourage free expression.

Issues with security and ethical leadership

The US still has to figure out how to balance its moral duties with its military ones. A new rule passed by the US Congress in June 2025 said that weapons had to be tracked after they were sold and that the people who used them had to be checked. This makes sure that guns aren’t used against people who aren’t involved in crime or violence. This is part of a wider shift in US foreign policy, from controlling to working together and from dominating to conversing.


The law is a huge change that signals that arms deals will be more open and fairer. It addresses global concerns about fatalities and the misuse of U.S.-supplied armaments. Instead of extending the fight by giving the military too much freedom, the U.S. aims to restore confidence, obey international law, and help rebuilding efforts by tightening monitoring.

Conclusion


As of June 2025, the United States is at a crossroads in the Middle East. The country is no longer known for invading and occupying other countries. Instead, diplomacy, humanitarian action, economic investment, and cultural involvement define it. We can’t make peace in the Middle East; we have to work together to make it happen. The greatest way to move forward is to provide power to local communities, put money into education, support an honest foreign policy, and make civil voices heard.

As a sociology student, I believe that the US has the ability and the opportunity to be more than just a superpower. It may also be a good partner in making the Middle East a safe place to live by being accountable, responsive, and polite. For this transition to happen, we need to move away from policies that are all about power and toward ones that are all about people. The United States should support grassroots initiatives to promote peace, put human rights first in its relationships, and advocate for inclusive governance in the region. Long-term peace can only happen when foreign policy is based on what average people desire, not just what is best for the country. By listening, learning, and leading with kindness, the United States can help make the world a better place.

Is IMEC a Casualty of the Middle East Tensions?

By: Simran Sodhi

IMEC: source Internet

It would be an appropriate assessment to make at this point that one of the biggest casualties of the Israel-Iran conflict is likely to be the ambitious India-Middle East- Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC). The project was announced on the side lines of the G20 Summit held in September 2023 in New Delhi and aims to connect India to Europe via the Middle East with ports, railways and roads. Many analysts point out that the IMEC will challenge China’s Belt and Road Initiative, when completed, and that is also the reason why the United States had backed the project with great enthusiasm (but so far has not committed any funding for the project). 2023 was the time when Joe Biden was President of the US and had backed the project, but with President Donald Trump at the helm of affairs now, that is yet another unpredictability in the project taking off. 

The proposed corridor will link India to Europe via the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel and Greece. First it was the Israel-Gaza conflict that changed the equations between the Middle East and Israel. The 2020 Abraham Accords, wherein UAE normalized relations with Israel followed by Morocco, was seen as a watershed moment in Middle East politics. It also saw Saudi Arabia moving forward to recognising Israel, prodded by the US that it would provide the Saudis security assurances in return for recognizing Israel. All that changed on Oct 7, 2023 with the horrific attack by Hamas. And as Israel continues to bomb Gaza in an unrelenting fashion, all deals seem off the table. And now with the heightened tensions between Iran-Israel, the fate of IMEC is more uncertain than ever before.

Economics and politics are deeply intertwined and nowhere is this more obvious than in the ambitious IMEC project to link continents. As the political situation changes and Iran-Israel tensions peak, with Gaza already in the middle of a humanitarian crisis, it will become difficult for the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Jordan to promote any economic activity that links them to Israel. It is also to be noted here that this becomes more problematic in Jordan where most of the kingdom’s population is ethnically Palestinian, including Queen Rania.

The Middle East, since 2023, seems to be in a constant state of tensions that show little sign of an early resolution. Iran today, even after the US bombing and its recent war with Israel, seems to be standing tall and reports suggest little or no damage to its nuclear capabilities. It’s proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah in Lebanon have nevertheless been weakened to a great degree. For Iran, this is also an opportunity to take a leadership role in the region and push the Saudis down a bit on the rung. IMEC is also going to get affected in the context here that the Saudis can ill afford an impression both domestically and in the Middle East region that they failed to stand by the Palestinians. And with the Saudis not wanting to go ahead with recognizing Israel, and then not wanting to get into deeper economic ties with Israel, IMEC will have trouble taking off. It would be a safe bet to state at this point that even if IMEC eventually does take shape, it is unlikely to happen as long as this conflict and humanitarian crisis continues.

After the Oct 7 attack by Hamas, former US President Joe Biden had twice said that he was convinced that IMEC is one of the reasons why Hamas attacked Israel. “I’m convinced one of the reasons Hamas attacked when they did, and I have no proof of this, just my instinct tells me, is because of the progress we were making towards regional integration for Israel, and regional integration overall. We can’t leave that work behind,” he said. There is little doubt in most people’s minds today that the attacks by Hamas was meant to bring world attention back to the Palestine cause, and to stop Saudi Arabia from going forward with recognising Israel since this regional economic integration would have brought Israel closer to UAE and Saudi Arabia.       

So, in the short term, it would be a fair point to make that as long as the crisis in Gaza continues and the Israel-Iran tensions dominate the regional politics, one should expect UAE and Saudi Arabia to focus more on their inter-connectivity projects. India can always be included in those equations but the inclusion of Israel is difficult. Saudi Arabia has said repeatedly that there can be no recognition of Israel without a Palestinian State. So IMEC is likely to be a limited project going forward, contrary to the grand ambitions with which it was launched. Once things return to a new normal, we might see IMEC and its related projects take off but as of today, this will remain on the backfoot for most member states.

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